Investing in currency crisis
Published 15.12.2019 в Analyse forex euro franc suisse
Print Web Share Britain, or the members of the Conservative party, have just settled on a new prime minister. Liz Truss will have her work cut out: with inflation on the rise and energy prices skyrocketing.
That in itself may be bad news, but not cause for panic. After all, other major economies, the US for example have also run up a significant current account deficit. The picture is even worse when factoring in the narrow basic balance, which factors in foreign direct investment and GDP growth. On that front, Britain performs worse than emerging and developed markets, according to Deutsche Bank.
Markets responded to her announcement by voting with their feet. Bond yields move opposite price. But we'll see. Equity guys are obviously still very nervous and the dollar is still at the highs of the day. Arone said other factors are at play as well globally. Central banks are also hiking rates at the same time they are ending bond purchasing programs.
Strategists say the U. The Fed's projected 4. Yet, strategists still see that as fluid until the course of inflation is clear, and fed funds futures for early next year were racing above that level, to 4. He said interest rates were suppressed by global central banks since the financial crisis, and until recently, rates in Europe were negative.
What's happening is developing markets currencies and debt are trading like emerging markets. That was definitely one of the factors that unleashed this volatility," he said. A higher terminal rate should continue to support the dollar against other currencies. Strategists said they see no specific signs, but they are monitoring markets for any signs of stress, particularly in Europe where rate moves have been dramatic. When the tide goes out, you see who is not wearing a swimming suit," said Chandler.

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